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Trader leaderboard/xenonliu

xenonliu

0x94bde001e4a00152490c60bebe2aab120e8c6184
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$203
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$24
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
12W / 15L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
15W / 22L
Trades (30d)
37
across 5 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$101.71
avg win $20 · loss $223
Profit Factor
0.09
$20 won / $223 lost
Reward / Risk
0.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,688,000

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.9% 15W/17L 12 $32,031
🏛 Politics 100.0% 12W/0L 3 $4,593
💵 Economy 100.0% 12W/0L 1 $3,964

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No 36,024 0.905 $32,601.43 $561.65 +1.8%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 24,556 0.962 $23,610.61 $590.50 +2.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 7,048 0.988 $6,959.98 $182.02 +2.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 8,000 0.790 $6,324.00 $2,324.00 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 8,000 0.209 $1,676.00 $-2,324.00 -58.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 1,591 0.875 $1,392.46 $72.46 +5.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 1,025 0.979 $1,002.97 $15.52 +1.6%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes 999 0.885 $884.49 $105.95 +13.6%
GTA VI released before November 2026? No 500 0.972 $486.00 $31.00 +6.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 100 0.905 $90.50 $15.50 +20.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 100 0.845 $84.50 $2.50 +3.0%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? Yes 90 0.555 $49.94 $-11.95 -19.3%
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 3.2% and 4.0%? No 34 0.944 $31.83 $3.12 +10.9%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes 50 0.165 $8.25 $-2.25 -21.4%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes 30 0.265 $7.95 $-4.65 -36.9%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? Yes 20 0.270 $5.40 $2.40 +80.0%