PnL (30d)

+$5

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$84

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

942W / 707L · 4,633 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

3,816W / 2,331L · 135 open

Trades (30d)

6,282

across 1,313 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.02

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.04

$131 won / $127 lost

Reward / Risk

0.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.9% 7,601W/5,764L	4760	$34,973
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	77	$97
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	45	$75
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	31	$55
⚽ Sports	—	28	$22
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	15	$23
🤖 Tech	—	7	$9
🔬 Science	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$4
🌤 Weather	—	2	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

131 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 3.2% and 4.0%?	Yes	20	0.057	$1.13	$0.73	+182.5%
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31?	Yes	20	0.006	$0.13	$-1.65	-92.8%
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	15	0.006	$0.10	$-1.00	-91.1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	1	0.045	$0.05	$-0.19	-78.6%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-1.95	-97.5%
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-3.15	-98.4%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	78	0.001	$0.04	$-1.14	-96.7%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	75	0.001	$0.04	$-2.64	-98.6%
Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	69	0.001	$0.03	$-2.82	-98.8%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	55	0.001	$0.03	$-0.71	-96.3%
Will Rick Jakious be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	55	0.001	$0.03	$-1.48	-98.2%
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?	Yes	54	0.001	$0.03	$-1.04	-97.5%
Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-1.10	-97.8%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Baltimore Ravens next?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-2.58	-99.0%
Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-0.51	-95.3%
Will Tommy Thompson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-2.07	-98.8%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-0.63	-96.2%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-7.20	-99.7%
Will Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-1.32	-98.1%
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.02	$-2.15	-98.8%
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.02	$-2.75	-99.1%
Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	48	0.001	$0.02	$-5.62	-99.6%
Will Nick Pivetta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Yes	40	0.001	$0.02	$-1.03	-98.1%
Will Christopher Brooks be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	40	0.001	$0.02	$-0.93	-97.9%
Will MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	36	0.001	$0.02	$-1.41	-98.7%