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Trader leaderboard/mountaindewd

mountaindewd

0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$795
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,230
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
40W / 0L · 176 open
Win Return (30d)
96%
208W / 8L
Trades (30d)
216
across 16 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
+$794.90
avg win $795
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,270 · all-time $3,538,193

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.8% 99W/22L 37 $69,163
🏛 Politics 100.0% 40W/0L 12 $29,422

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 5,444 0.935 $5,090.13 $1,868.18 +58.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 6,000 0.675 $4,050.00 $690.00 +20.5%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 4,000 0.925 $3,702.00 $158.00 +4.5%
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No 2,844 0.875 $2,488.39 $477.03 +23.7%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No 2,881 0.740 $2,131.64 $447.09 +26.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 4,263 0.485 $2,067.53 $244.79 +13.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 7,478 0.271 $2,022.83 $-11.73 -0.6%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 3,057 0.607 $1,854.31 $-91.76 -4.7%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 3,654 0.475 $1,735.56 $86.80 +5.3%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No 2,456 0.550 $1,350.55 $-122.78 -8.3%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,837 0.515 $945.84 $-6.33 -0.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 1,000 0.935 $935.00 $365.00 +64.0%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 2,000 0.455 $910.00 $250.00 +37.9%
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No 1,216 0.655 $796.69 $103.39 +14.9%
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.760 $760.00 $230.00 +43.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat? Yes 800 0.880 $704.00 $56.00 +8.6%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,500 0.450 $675.00 $-15.00 -2.2%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No 1,350 0.440 $593.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 1,000 0.590 $590.00 $340.00 +136.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 570 1.000 $569.52 $156.56 +37.9%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No 1,000 0.520 $520.00 $10.00 +2.0%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 500 0.934 $467.00 $22.00 +4.9%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 9,800 0.046 $450.80 $34.04 +8.2%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No 584 0.495 $289.26 $-19.55 -6.3%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 407 0.560 $228.07 $-8.15 -3.4%