PnL (30d)

−$53

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

70W / 70L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

71W / 73L

Trades (30d)

144

across 122 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.45

avg win $7 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.87

$366 won / $419 lost

Reward / Risk

0.97

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.7% 126W/113L	236	$1,809
⚽ Sports	50.0% 8W/8L	19	$95

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

82 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	390	0.845	$329.55	$40.75	+14.1%
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,868	0.090	$258.15	$-360.64	-58.3%
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,297	0.195	$252.85	$-222.02	-46.8%
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,239	0.190	$235.47	$-202.55	-46.2%
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	475	0.495	$235.17	$1.07	+0.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	294	0.625	$183.82	$83.82	+83.8%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,013	0.180	$182.34	$-96.32	-34.6%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	461	0.335	$154.35	$5.34	+3.6%
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,476	0.095	$140.18	$-274.22	-66.2%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	243	0.385	$93.66	$-86.14	-47.9%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	104	0.745	$77.81	$46.98	+152.4%
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	283	0.250	$70.66	$-70.80	-50.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	70	0.805	$56.35	$-3.05	-5.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	50	0.893	$44.65	$-2.25	-4.8%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	40	0.873	$34.90	$0.10	+0.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	40	0.735	$29.40	$3.80	+14.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	348	0.055	$19.15	$-10.85	-36.2%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	24	0.715	$17.23	$7.23	+72.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	58	0.255	$14.67	$-15.33	-51.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	500	0.029	$14.25	$-5.75	-28.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	94	0.145	$13.66	$-16.34	-54.5%
Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	13	0.991	$13.03	$8.03	+160.7%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	107	0.120	$12.90	$-7.10	-35.5%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	17	0.705	$11.87	$1.87	+18.7%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	100	0.105	$10.50	$0.50	+5.0%