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Trader leaderboard/LlamaLoco0000

LlamaLoco0000

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a
PnL (30d)
+$245,258
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$25,717
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+44.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
185W / 269L · 1,738 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
730W / 1,462L
Trades (30d)
2,192
across 60 markets · ~37 per market
EV / position
+$11,148.11
avg win $27,615 · loss $2,575
Profit Factor
8.94
$276,153 won / $30,895 lost
Reward / Risk
10.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,315
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $403,100 · all-time $26,938,530

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.7% 185W/269L 60 $674,539
🏛 Politics 10 $174,209
₿ Crypto 5 $56,020
⚽ Sports 15.4% 2W/11L 5 $2,087

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 316,834 0.515 $163,169.35 $38,358.42 +30.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes 284,874 0.220 $62,672.34 $-8,028.61 -11.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 382,408 0.115 $43,976.86 $-40,910.72 -48.2%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No 60,473 0.702 $42,422.08 $315.91 +0.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 166,921 0.250 $41,730.35 $5,744.27 +16.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 140,212 0.245 $34,352.01 $-3,505.17 -9.3%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes 369,799 0.085 $31,432.93 $-9,469.45 -23.2%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 229,236 0.135 $30,946.80 $6,116.69 +24.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 150,001 0.165 $24,750.22 $-11,110.30 -31.0%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 52,771 0.455 $24,010.73 $-76.83 -0.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes 286,423 0.080 $22,913.87 $-31,143.67 -57.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 303,576 0.065 $19,732.42 $-67,544.97 -77.4%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 55,800 0.213 $11,913.31 $-5,108.66 -30.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 117,945 0.080 $9,435.57 $-12,636.83 -57.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 13,929 0.655 $9,123.79 $69.65 +0.8%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes 12,237 0.655 $8,015.50 $428.31 +5.6%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 110,421 0.072 $8,005.53 $599.48 +8.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 19,992 0.360 $7,197.19 $31.93 +0.4%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 122,775 0.055 $6,752.61 $-13,925.96 -67.3%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes 70,938 0.075 $5,320.32 $-4,455.94 -45.6%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes 74,178 0.070 $5,222.12 $-377.05 -6.7%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? Yes 8,058 0.555 $4,472.24 $458.63 +11.4%
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes 16,582 0.260 $4,311.29 $-5,227.87 -54.8%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 11,208 0.230 $2,577.82 $-213.29 -7.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 8,635 0.255 $2,202.02 $-1,053.15 -32.4%