PnL (30d)

−$10

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

3W / 5L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

36%

4W / 7L

Trades (30d)

11

across 11 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$1.23

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.16

$2 won / $12 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.5% 3W/5L	11	$12
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$3
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	5	0.158	$0.79	$0.66	+514.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9	0.075	$0.68	$-0.32	-31.8%
Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	5	0.042	$0.21	$0.08	+63.7%
Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	5	0.011	$0.05	$-0.08	-59.0%
Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	73	0.000	$0.00	$-2.61	-100.0%