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Trader leaderboard/TPAA

TPAA

0x93ef12bfc73651880a24c0679333cc4ca0dc468b
PnL (30d)
−$1,302
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-28.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
25W / 74L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
28%
37W / 95L
Trades (30d)
132
across 18 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$93.00
avg win $124 · loss $180
Profit Factor
0.28
$496 won / $1,798 lost
Reward / Risk
0.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$578
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $318 · all-time $2,996,556

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.3% 25W/74L 18 $11,328
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $703
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $3,799
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $599

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 3,885 0.790 $3,071.09 $1,128.59 +58.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No 2,021 0.964 $1,947.50 $47.50 +2.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 1,200 0.855 $1,025.99 $198.00 +23.9%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 1,849 0.455 $841.52 $-56.29 -6.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,885 0.209 $813.91 $-1,128.59 -58.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 955 0.790 $754.65 $-80.07 -9.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 863 0.865 $746.09 $-30.19 -3.9%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 475 0.880 $417.87 $275.41 +193.3%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 1,070 0.295 $315.64 $-37.45 -10.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 268 0.945 $253.14 $9.38 +3.8%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 800 0.275 $220.00 $20.00 +10.0%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 296 0.677 $200.83 $-48.17 -19.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? Yes 40 0.105 $4.20 $0.60 +16.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? Yes 50 0.041 $2.05 $-1.95 -48.8%