PnL (30d)

−$4,222

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,969

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

587W / 857L · 469 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

875W / 1,029L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

1,913

across 234 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$29.73

avg win $142 · loss $206

Profit Factor

0.71

$10,227 won / $14,449 lost

Reward / Risk

0.69

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,629

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.7% 587W/857L	234	$227,831
🏛 Politics	78.8% 26W/7L	32	$11,705
🎬 Culture	100.0% 11W/0L	3	$685
💵 Economy	100.0% 13W/0L	2	$1,995
₿ Crypto	—	1	$258

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	248	0.038	$9.55	$2.61	+37.5%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,004	0.001	$0.50	$-49.71	-99.0%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,004	0.001	$0.50	$-49.71	-99.0%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,004	0.001	$0.50	$-49.71	-99.0%