FredericM
0x93724e69d3b4ebe7c45c71a526e82613c59a5093
PnL (30d)
+$35
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
11W / 4L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
16W / 12L
Trades (30d)
28
across 21 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$3.18
avg win $6 · loss $4
Profit Factor
4.16
$46 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
1.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $166 · all-time $65,203
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? |
Yes |
40 |
0.915 |
$36.60 |
$3.00 |
+8.9% |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? |
No |
25 |
0.835 |
$20.88 |
$-1.12 |
-5.1% |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
20 |
0.685 |
$13.70 |
$0.90 |
+7.0% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.675 |
$13.50 |
$-0.50 |
-3.6% |
| Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August? |
Yes |
20 |
0.620 |
$12.40 |
$-3.80 |
-23.5% |
| Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
20 |
0.575 |
$11.50 |
$-4.90 |
-29.9% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? |
Yes |
38 |
0.300 |
$11.45 |
$-14.38 |
-55.7% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.495 |
$9.90 |
$-8.10 |
-45.0% |