PnL (30d)

−$53

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$232

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

4%

2W / 45L · 160 open

Win Return (30d)

3%

5W / 157L · 45 open

Trades (30d)

207

across 50 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.57

avg win $2 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.03

$2 won / $55 lost

Reward / Risk

0.41

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	4.3% 2W/45L	50	$6,108
💵 Economy	—	2	$226
🎬 Culture	—	1	$9
🏛 Politics	—	1	$100

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	200	0.385	$77.00	$-23.00	-23.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	200	0.235	$47.00	$-55.00	-53.9%