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Trader leaderboard/PrimePenguin

PrimePenguin

0x933ca00f565ba7130180e58fce4f965cc33ba8c6
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$31
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$223
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
98W / 64L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
115W / 79L
Trades (30d)
194
across 80 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.50
avg win $27 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.97
$948 won / $979 lost
Reward / Risk
0.75
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$338
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,507 · all-time $1,124,719

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.1% 490W/400L 349 $35,196
💵 Economy 68.6% 48W/22L 44 $4,177
₿ Crypto 60.0% 33W/22L 42 $3,608
⚽ Sports 20 $973
🏛 Politics 3 $112
🤖 Tech 100.0% 15W/0L 2 $551
🎬 Culture 1 $22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

105 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 418 0.990 $413.55 $4.51 +1.1%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 848 0.450 $381.82 $122.61 +47.3%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August? Yes 314 0.950 $298.62 $169.74 +131.7%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August? Yes 338 0.745 $252.08 $171.43 +212.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 253 0.963 $243.51 $10.97 +4.7%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 233 0.705 $164.26 $-1.16 -0.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? No 193 0.830 $160.19 $28.22 +21.4%
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? No 150 0.910 $136.50 $1.50 +1.1%
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes 224 0.565 $126.57 $3.10 +2.5%
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next? No 118 0.998 $118.24 $1.13 +1.0%
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? No 100 0.965 $96.45 $-2.19 -2.2%
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? No 226 0.335 $75.82 $17.53 +30.1%
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No 150 0.485 $72.75 $-1.25 -1.7%
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No 100 0.720 $72.00 $2.00 +2.9%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.230 $69.00 $-9.00 -11.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August? Yes 493 0.140 $68.97 $-38.73 -36.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 100 0.655 $65.50 $-8.50 -11.5%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? No 100 0.580 $58.00 $45.00 +346.2%
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes 154 0.325 $50.05 $0.23 +0.5%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? No 50 0.985 $49.23 $-0.72 -1.5%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 50 0.968 $48.38 $0.47 +1.0%
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? Yes 60 0.719 $43.18 $-9.04 -17.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 50 0.835 $41.75 $1.25 +3.1%
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? Yes 90 0.450 $40.50 $0.00 +0.0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August? Yes 190 0.210 $39.94 $-26.30 -39.7%