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Trader leaderboard/trader-93173b86

trader-93173b86

0x93173b86dbe2f2dd9922c751806d306b48cf5a5f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$30
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+7.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
22W / 16L
Win Return (30d)
58%
22W / 16L
Trades (30d)
38
across 11 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$2.77
avg win $8 · loss $2
Profit Factor
3.95
$41 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
4.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $648 · all-time $1,194,899

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.8% 982W/1,029L 414 $12,410
🌤 Weather 22.2% 4W/14L 9 $254

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 2,000 0.134 $267.00 $117.00 +78.0%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 2,500 0.036 $91.25 $1.25 +1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? No 60 1.000 $60.21 $0.21 +0.4%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 55 1.000 $55.23 $0.25 +0.5%
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No 10 0.955 $9.54 $0.51 +5.7%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 10 0.925 $9.25 $0.45 +5.1%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No 10 0.875 $8.75 $1.05 +13.6%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 10 0.895 $8.62 $2.33 +37.1%
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No 6 0.991 $5.95 $0.19 +3.3%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 5 0.938 $4.69 $0.19 +4.3%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No 5 0.880 $4.40 $0.25 +6.0%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No 5 0.838 $4.19 $1.78 +73.8%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No 5 0.639 $3.20 $-0.49 -13.3%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 5 0.095 $0.47 $-2.47 -83.9%