PnL (30d)

−$92

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

39W / 142L · 282 open

Win Return (30d)

18%

78W / 355L · 30 open

Trades (30d)

463

across 45 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$5.77

avg win $5 · loss $11

Profit Factor

0.20

$24 won / $116 lost

Reward / Risk

0.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	26.3% 491W/1,377L	240	$11,059
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$114

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	Yes	67	0.957	$63.71	$8.43	+15.2%
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	61	0.940	$57.74	$2.46	+4.4%
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	No	60	0.954	$57.06	$2.06	+3.8%
Will Gary Cordery win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	62	0.905	$55.99	$0.71	+1.3%
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?	Yes	57	0.970	$55.15	$-0.13	-0.2%
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?	Yes	62	0.885	$54.97	$-0.31	-0.6%
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	61	0.380	$23.08	$-32.20	-58.2%
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	No	8	0.685	$5.81	$-1.65	-22.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1	0.165	$0.17	$-0.45	-73.1%