PnL (30d)

−$528

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$69

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

738W / 979L · 69 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

758W / 1,004L · 24 open

Trades (30d)

1,786

across 366 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1.51

avg win $56 · loss $52

Profit Factor

0.95

$9,105 won / $9,633 lost

Reward / Risk

1.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$981

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.0% 738W/979L	366	$64,711
🏛 Politics	100.0% 13W/0L	5	$302
🎬 Culture	100.0% 13W/0L	4	$291
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/10L	2	$8
💵 Economy	—	1	$83
⚽ Sports	—	1	$44

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	157	0.990	$155.70	$135.69	+678.3%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	70	0.680	$47.53	$22.37	+88.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	190	0.007	$1.43	$-9.37	-86.8%
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	35	0.004	$0.16	$-0.18	-52.7%