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Trader leaderboard/LASJD2N

LASJD2N

0x9209b4ef4706a64265fbe1a6fce176c8bd64b4d5
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$744
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-29.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
123W / 163L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
44%
129W / 166L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
297
across 148 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$5.27
avg win $11 · loss $17
Profit Factor
0.47
$656 won / $1,400 lost
Reward / Risk
0.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$152
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,047 · all-time $359,268

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.3% 290W/244L 312 $6,447
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 12 $53
⚽ Sports 32.1% 9W/19L 12 $240
💵 Economy 5 $11
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $8
🤖 Tech 3 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

83 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 121 0.945 $114.20 $13.90 +13.9%
Palermo: Clara Burel vs Federica Urgesi Federica Urgesi 182 0.500 $91.00 $30.94 +51.5%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 185 0.285 $52.73 $-13.87 -20.8%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs 3v Team 113 0.155 $17.52 $-2.82 -13.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 28 0.615 $17.43 $-1.57 -8.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 20 0.835 $16.85 $-0.17 -1.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 21 0.786 $16.20 $2.32 +16.7%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? Yes 16 0.790 $12.86 $-0.38 -2.9%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No 22 0.540 $11.79 $-0.34 -2.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.925 $10.55 $0.59 +5.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 10 0.835 $8.24 $0.77 +10.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 12 0.675 $7.92 $1.15 +17.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 11 0.695 $7.41 $-0.19 -2.5%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 7 0.855 $5.97 $0.22 +3.9%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 13 0.455 $5.72 $-0.57 -9.0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 6 0.855 $5.31 $0.09 +1.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 8 0.615 $4.77 $0.56 +13.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 8 0.545 $4.56 $-1.71 -27.3%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 5 0.964 $4.51 $0.58 +14.7%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 5 0.867 $4.38 $-0.03 -0.7%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 5 0.820 $4.25 $2.80 +192.9%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 13 0.325 $4.07 $-0.69 -14.5%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.635 $3.81 $0.33 +9.5%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 18 0.213 $3.77 $-1.75 -31.8%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 6 0.635 $3.54 $-0.20 -5.2%