Log in
Trader leaderboard/Natsan

Natsan

0x91e517cc3687db44a31fa01cee27cdc540b10947
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$96
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$236
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
17W / 5L · 130 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
81W / 70L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
152
across 54 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$10.68
avg win $44 · loss $32
Profit Factor
1.76
$222 won / $126 lost
Reward / Risk
1.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$803
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $39,872 · all-time $1,029,941

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.9% 1,458W/1,017L 883 $123,229
⚽ Sports 46.8% 29W/33L 30 $4,405
🏛 Politics 25.0% 1W/3L 19 $5,261
₿ Crypto 62.1% 18W/11L 18 $3,053
💵 Economy 36.4% 4W/7L 16 $6,017
🤖 Tech 10 $2,303
🎬 Culture 90.0% 9W/1L 7 $553

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

91 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,059 0.700 $2,141.30 $-152.95 -6.7%
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election? No 1,297 0.989 $1,282.40 $100.35 +8.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 1,093 0.910 $994.94 $277.26 +38.6%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 13,014 0.075 $982.54 $-431.54 -30.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 1,770 0.430 $761.10 $50.30 +7.1%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,244 0.590 $734.14 $8.27 +1.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? No 663 0.835 $553.61 $91.93 +19.9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 545 0.775 $422.38 $2.08 +0.5%
Rippling IPO before 2027? No 450 0.875 $393.75 $-7.84 -2.0%
Remote IPO before 2027? No 444 0.855 $379.62 $2.68 +0.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 400 0.920 $368.00 $-4.00 -1.1%
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 328 0.989 $324.23 $13.91 +4.5%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 424 0.745 $315.89 $62.94 +24.9%
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election? Yes 360 0.875 $315.00 $12.60 +4.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,500 0.085 $297.50 $-87.11 -22.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 380 0.740 $281.01 $-5.29 -1.8%
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 390 0.720 $280.80 $-34.95 -11.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? Yes 250 0.995 $248.74 $46.25 +22.8%
Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? No 233 0.976 $227.41 $12.28 +5.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 617 0.335 $206.83 $3.09 +1.5%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? Yes 300 0.670 $201.00 $15.00 +8.1%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? No 200 0.897 $179.40 $13.64 +8.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 1,000 0.170 $170.00 $43.04 +33.9%
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament No 250 0.620 $155.00 $-60.00 -27.9%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 160 0.957 $153.04 $5.01 +3.4%