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Trader leaderboard/frosique1

frosique1

0x91c7f544a6efad9825185c2bca1f1a95cc92b576
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$78
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
2W / 2L · 41 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
29W / 16L
Trades (30d)
45
across 19 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.03
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.10
$1 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
2.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,077 · all-time $527,630

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.9% 9W/12L 36 $5,239
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $949
₿ Crypto 2 $358
💵 Economy 2 $358

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 4,387 0.935 $4,102.29 $522.33 +14.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 2,966 0.615 $1,824.07 $-703.00 -27.8%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 1,360 0.915 $1,244.40 $48.41 +4.0%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 996 0.925 $921.31 $56.66 +6.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 989 0.745 $737.12 $71.02 +10.7%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? No 530 0.988 $523.64 $34.04 +7.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 546 0.915 $499.77 $67.87 +15.7%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 546 0.820 $447.45 $83.84 +23.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 501 0.855 $428.36 $84.32 +24.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 450 0.915 $411.75 $47.75 +13.1%
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No 426 0.875 $372.39 $15.98 +4.5%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 377 0.945 $356.51 $10.32 +3.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 310 0.981 $303.95 $5.66 +1.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 350 0.855 $299.25 $5.25 +1.8%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 335 0.885 $296.48 $27.21 +10.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No 309 0.945 $292.05 $98.25 +50.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.885 $265.49 $20.50 +8.4%
Russia coup attempt in 2026? No 250 0.925 $231.25 $4.75 +2.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? No 300 0.750 $225.00 $-37.00 -14.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 238 0.865 $205.44 $18.99 +10.2%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No 230 0.870 $200.10 $15.90 +8.6%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 220 0.905 $199.10 $9.50 +5.0%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? No 200 0.987 $197.40 $2.70 +1.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 232 0.835 $193.72 $-11.44 -5.6%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 196 0.935 $183.53 $28.20 +18.2%