| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
No |
932 |
0.585 |
$545.47 |
$17.74 |
+3.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
600 |
0.905 |
$543.00 |
$45.00 |
+9.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
769 |
0.635 |
$488.46 |
$-11.54 |
-2.3% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.415 |
$456.50 |
$121.00 |
+36.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.964 |
$385.40 |
$25.40 |
+7.1% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
345 |
0.770 |
$265.68 |
$-24.15 |
-8.3% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.962 |
$192.30 |
$0.30 |
+0.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
773 |
0.155 |
$119.81 |
$-403.30 |
-77.1% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.195 |
$97.50 |
$-2.50 |
-2.5% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
900 |
0.105 |
$94.50 |
$-124.82 |
-56.9% |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.5% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
65 |
0.987 |
$64.09 |
$14.09 |
+28.2% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
50 |
0.875 |
$43.75 |
$11.75 |
+36.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
80 |
0.165 |
$13.20 |
$2.80 |
+26.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
206 |
0.002 |
$0.31 |
$-79.13 |
-99.6% |