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Trader leaderboard/jsmp1

jsmp1

0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$327
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$96
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
11W / 10L · 95 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
61W / 55L
Trades (30d)
116
across 18 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$54.43
avg win $184 · loss $293
Profit Factor
0.63
$553 won / $880 lost
Reward / Risk
0.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $2,250,652

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.1% 25W/18L 35 $35,062
🏛 Politics 1 $723
🎬 Culture 1 $94

Open positions

79 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 5,216 0.971 $5,061.73 $301.00 +6.3%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 4,779 0.978 $4,671.15 $124.80 +2.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 3,500 0.945 $3,307.49 $377.21 +12.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 4,600 0.615 $2,828.99 $282.07 +11.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 3,800 0.695 $2,640.62 $-199.37 -7.0%
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? No 2,619 0.965 $2,527.49 $73.92 +3.0%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No 2,600 0.956 $2,485.58 $141.60 +6.0%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 2,400 0.977 $2,343.59 $225.60 +10.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,694 0.835 $2,249.82 $540.58 +31.6%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 2,700 0.680 $1,836.00 $122.00 +7.1%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 1,718 0.948 $1,628.27 $151.15 +10.2%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 1,600 0.915 $1,464.00 $98.00 +7.2%
SBF released from custody in 2026? No 1,500 0.957 $1,434.75 $79.75 +5.9%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No 2,600 0.540 $1,404.00 $-26.00 -1.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1,400 0.925 $1,295.00 $55.05 +4.4%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No 1,200 0.945 $1,134.00 $69.60 +6.5%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 1,210 0.935 $1,131.33 $88.15 +8.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 1,500 0.750 $1,124.99 $40.00 +3.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,700 0.645 $1,096.55 $238.52 +27.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 1,200 0.905 $1,086.00 $200.00 +22.6%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 1,051 0.977 $1,026.52 $102.98 +11.2%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 1,337 0.745 $995.84 $165.19 +19.9%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes 1,308 0.745 $974.36 $199.17 +25.7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No 1,000 0.924 $924.49 $114.50 +14.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 931 0.961 $893.80 $60.02 +7.2%