PnL (30d)

−$155

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$63

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

16%

19W / 99L · 135 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

100W / 153L

Trades (30d)

253

across 29 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$22.21

avg win $105 · loss $118

Profit Factor

0.67

$316 won / $471 lost

Reward / Risk

0.89

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.4% 157W/343L	72	$8,697
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	17	$445
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	3	$55

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	1,306	0.315	$411.54	$-62.76	-13.2%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	998	0.215	$214.57	$-148.92	-41.0%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	578	0.356	$206.05	$-17.18	-7.7%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	177	0.535	$94.59	$4.59	+5.1%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	239	0.305	$72.82	$-8.31	-10.2%
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	Yes	228	0.275	$62.64	$-6.35	-9.2%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	119	0.485	$57.53	$3.66	+6.8%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	313	0.180	$56.27	$-28.73	-33.8%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,043	0.052	$54.77	$6.27	+12.9%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	93	0.440	$40.71	$-1.29	-3.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	249	0.146	$36.52	$13.40	+57.9%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	45	0.455	$20.69	$0.68	+3.4%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	30	0.615	$18.56	$-1.44	-7.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	124	0.086	$10.58	$-0.05	-0.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	15	0.655	$10.08	$0.08	+0.8%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	20	0.445	$8.73	$-1.27	-12.7%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	10	0.515	$4.95	$-0.05	-1.0%
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28	0.155	$4.31	$-0.69	-13.9%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	104	0.024	$2.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	14	0.065	$0.93	$-0.07	-7.1%
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4	0.165	$0.59	$-0.41	-41.1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	23	0.025	$0.58	$-0.05	-8.0%