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Trader leaderboard/JohnP92

JohnP92

0x9163b65317deaab8b3b681c5a7a5c261d99b82ae
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$401
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-51.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 18L · 75 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
57W / 36L
Trades (30d)
93
across 15 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$100.36
· loss $100
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $401 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$401
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,014 · all-time $1,035,055

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.8% 57W/53L 63 $4,899
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/18L 15 $1,139
⚽ Sports 1 $33
🎬 Culture 1 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 22,000 0.998 $21,945.00 $10,945.00 +99.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 1,224 0.991 $1,212.66 $1,194.43 +6551.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? No 654 0.997 $652.03 $260.36 +66.5%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 1,500 0.356 $534.75 $331.60 +163.2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 500 0.966 $482.75 $21.35 +4.6%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 500 0.927 $463.75 $21.55 +4.9%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 700 0.635 $444.49 $20.13 +4.7%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 367 0.715 $261.91 $-44.18 -14.4%
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 232 0.985 $228.80 $6.16 +2.8%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 232 0.940 $218.34 $100.69 +85.6%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? No 250 0.805 $201.56 $29.50 +17.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? No 543 0.369 $200.71 $-35.22 -14.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No 300 0.635 $190.50 $-30.50 -13.8%
Kash Patel out by December 31? No 237 0.790 $187.23 $137.46 +276.2%
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? No 200 0.765 $153.00 $-7.00 -4.4%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 151 1.000 $150.93 $40.34 +36.5%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 20–25%? Yes 299 0.504 $150.74 $144.48 +2308.7%
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? No 200 0.731 $146.20 $14.40 +10.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? No 143 0.640 $91.83 $17.59 +23.7%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No 100 0.865 $86.50 $-2.50 -2.8%
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 400 0.210 $84.00 $28.00 +50.0%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 200 0.410 $82.00 $-20.00 -19.6%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 100 0.765 $76.50 $1.00 +1.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 438 0.165 $72.33 $27.50 +61.3%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 100 0.715 $71.50 $32.50 +83.3%