PnL (30d)

−$38,140

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$130

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

1,711W / 948L · 20 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

1,731W / 948L

Trades (30d)

2,679

across 83 markets · ~32 per market

EV / position

−$465.12

avg win $435 · loss $2,403

Profit Factor

0.39

$24,350 won / $62,490 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7,190

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.3% 1,711W/948L	83	$460,232
🏛 Politics	44.2% 155W/196L	12	$61,602
🎬 Culture	43.5% 151W/196L	11	$50,219
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	1	$11,384

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	8,304	0.966	$8,017.72	$222.72	+2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.966	$1,931.00	$51.00	+2.7%