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Trader leaderboard/failstober

failstober

0x90ed5bffbffbfc344aa1195572d89719a398b5bc
PnL (30d)
−$6,199
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$250
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-22.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
4%
2W / 43L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
12%
6W / 43L
Trades (30d)
49
across 12 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$619.87
avg win $1,177 · loss $1,069
Profit Factor
0.28
$2,353 won / $8,552 lost
Reward / Risk
1.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,510 · all-time $39,646,825

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 4.4% 2W/43L 12 $35,197
🏛 Politics 1 $5,298

Open positions

117 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 413,943 0.143 $59,400.83 $-35,198.82 -37.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 30,000 0.816 $24,465.00 $9,465.00 +63.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 33,549 0.460 $15,415.73 $2,207.39 +16.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 56,892 0.184 $10,496.62 $-12,022.36 -53.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 240,556 0.021 $4,931.39 $700.50 +16.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 4,857 0.935 $4,540.98 $1,558.74 +52.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 4,444 0.976 $4,337.34 $737.70 +20.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 4,098 0.963 $3,943.90 $539.69 +15.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3,333 0.915 $3,049.69 $2,549.74 +510.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 44,802 0.052 $2,352.08 $856.96 +57.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 3,333 0.675 $2,249.78 $5.56 +0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,222 0.955 $2,121.98 $1,122.10 +112.2%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,039 0.595 $1,808.20 $197.53 +12.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 3,015 0.278 $836.63 $-520.85 -38.4%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8,983 0.086 $768.02 $437.17 +132.1%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes 643 0.863 $554.98 $478.00 +621.0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,043 0.209 $428.01 $412.05 +2581.8%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 605 0.595 $360.06 $41.13 +12.9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,711 0.088 $328.42 $299.43 +1032.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,596 0.135 $214.63 $202.16 +1621.7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 2,668 0.072 $193.46 $-260.17 -57.4%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,711 0.044 $165.14 $136.15 +469.6%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 3,331 0.049 $163.22 $146.08 +852.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,111 0.146 $162.76 $154.08 +1773.9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,600 0.090 $144.80 $132.30 +1058.5%