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Trader leaderboard/geph

geph

0x90c80c2f44cea8f5bee8e8b2db1c3e8560f19617
PnL (30d)
−$254
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$262
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
135W / 58L · 327 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
354W / 166L
Trades (30d)
520
across 57 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$9.76
avg win $53 · loss $152
Profit Factor
0.79
$963 won / $1,216 lost
Reward / Risk
0.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,997 · all-time $1,568,202

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.9% 135W/58L 57 $23,799
🏛 Politics 6 $1,605
⚽ Sports 5 $644

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 1,153 0.715 $824.68 $-70.68 -7.9%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 14,224 0.032 $448.05 $-360.66 -44.6%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 3,341 0.126 $419.30 $-213.05 -33.7%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 903 0.285 $257.25 $-37.72 -12.8%
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 6,803 0.035 $234.71 $-28.97 -11.0%
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 3,951 0.045 $177.82 $-95.48 -34.9%
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 817 0.205 $167.56 $23.61 +16.4%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 5,463 0.029 $161.16 $11.43 +7.6%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes 200 0.520 $104.00 $-52.00 -33.3%
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes 2,300 0.045 $103.50 $11.50 +12.5%
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 487 0.210 $102.19 $3.47 +3.5%
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes 1,127 0.090 $101.47 $-22.11 -17.9%
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 8,000 0.013 $100.00 $-20.00 -16.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 200 0.465 $93.00 $-28.20 -23.3%
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes 641 0.135 $86.52 $-1.70 -1.9%
Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 390 0.185 $72.07 $-6.44 -8.2%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 2,209 0.033 $71.79 $-16.73 -18.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6,152 0.007 $46.14 $-113.25 -71.1%
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes 482 0.085 $40.93 $5.62 +15.9%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 627 0.026 $16.63 $-15.22 -47.8%
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 55 0.285 $15.54 $0.27 +1.7%
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 50 0.300 $15.00 $2.00 +15.4%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.005 $11.00 $-5.00 -31.2%
Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 242 0.045 $10.91 $-1.06 -8.8%
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 37 0.255 $9.39 $0.18 +2.0%