| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
18 |
0.395 |
$7.05 |
$2.24 |
+46.7% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
267 |
0.019 |
$5.07 |
$0.27 |
+5.6% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.175 |
$4.23 |
$-0.61 |
-12.5% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
279 |
0.015 |
$4.04 |
$-0.76 |
-15.8% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? |
Yes |
16 |
0.240 |
$3.86 |
$-0.96 |
-20.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat? |
No |
155 |
0.023 |
$3.56 |
$-1.24 |
-25.8% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
52 |
0.068 |
$3.50 |
$-1.50 |
-30.0% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
No |
58 |
0.060 |
$3.47 |
$-2.31 |
-40.0% |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
Yes |
51 |
0.059 |
$3.01 |
$-2.61 |
-46.4% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
232 |
0.011 |
$2.67 |
$-0.12 |
-4.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
41 |
0.060 |
$2.45 |
$-2.37 |
-49.2% |
| Vanta IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
21 |
0.095 |
$1.98 |
$-0.52 |
-20.8% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
549 |
0.004 |
$1.92 |
$-1.92 |
-50.0% |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.090 |
$1.79 |
$-1.98 |
-52.6% |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
37 |
0.043 |
$1.59 |
$-0.91 |
-36.6% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
960 |
0.002 |
$1.44 |
$-3.36 |
-70.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? |
Yes |
25 |
0.051 |
$1.27 |
$-1.73 |
-57.6% |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
833 |
0.002 |
$1.25 |
$-3.75 |
-75.0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
225 |
0.005 |
$1.13 |
$-1.13 |
-50.0% |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
320 |
0.004 |
$1.12 |
$-1.76 |
-61.1% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? |
Yes |
30 |
0.035 |
$1.06 |
$-3.77 |
-78.1% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
271 |
0.004 |
$0.95 |
$-1.22 |
-56.2% |
| Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.051 |
$0.83 |
$-2.95 |
-78.0% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
500 |
0.002 |
$0.75 |
$-3.25 |
-81.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-51 House seat? |
Yes |
16 |
0.043 |
$0.68 |
$0.07 |
+11.8% |