PnL (30d)

−$46

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$75

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-17.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

60W / 616L · 2,999 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

2,041W / 1,427L · 207 open

Trades (30d)

3,675

across 189 markets · ~19 per market

EV / position

−$2.02

avg win $1 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.14

$8 won / $54 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	8.9% 60W/616L	189	$468
🏛 Politics	—	44	$69
💵 Economy	—	18	$15
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/8L	14	$14
⚽ Sports	—	9	$25
🤖 Tech	—	7	$5
🔬 Science	—	3	$1
🌤 Weather	—	2	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

129 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	85,257	0.001	$42.63	$-42.63	-50.0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	78,897	0.001	$39.45	$-39.45	-50.0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	55,775	0.001	$27.89	$-27.89	-50.0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	55,577	0.001	$27.79	$-27.79	-50.0%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	34,197	0.001	$17.10	$-17.10	-50.0%
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	8,180	0.002	$12.27	$4.09	+50.0%
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?	Yes	358	0.030	$10.93	$10.21	+1425.0%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	3,337	0.002	$5.01	$1.67	+49.8%
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	3,253	0.002	$4.88	$1.63	+50.0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	1,551	0.003	$4.65	$3.10	+200.0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	2,883	0.002	$4.32	$1.44	+50.0%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	5	0.874	$4.20	$4.19	+43573.8%
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	1,839	0.002	$2.76	$0.92	+50.0%
Will FDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	538	0.004	$2.15	$1.08	+100.0%
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	823	0.003	$2.06	$0.41	+25.0%
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	1,341	0.002	$2.01	$0.67	+50.0%
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	1,313	0.002	$1.97	$-0.66	-25.0%
Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	1,262	0.002	$1.89	$0.63	+50.0%
Will Ben Carson be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?	Yes	113	0.017	$1.87	$1.64	+725.0%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?	Yes	703	0.003	$1.76	$0.35	+25.0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	861	0.002	$1.72	$0.86	+100.0%
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?	Yes	480	0.004	$1.68	$0.72	+75.0%
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	3,333	0.001	$1.67	$-1.67	-50.0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	3,333	0.001	$1.67	$-1.67	-50.0%
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	3,333	0.001	$1.67	$-1.67	-50.0%