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Trader leaderboard/49ddgfd

49ddgfd

0x907007003964c04f45505730266053427d58e32c
PnL (30d)
−$29
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
28W / 153L · 1,666 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
1,249W / 536L · 62 open
Trades (30d)
1,847
across 212 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$1.15
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.14
$5 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
0.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,329 · all-time $253,051

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 15.5% 28W/153L 212 $844
🏛 Politics 34 $68
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/7L 32 $42
💵 Economy 12 $32
🎬 Culture 10 $24
₿ Crypto 8 $36
🤖 Tech 8 $13
🔬 Science 2 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

176 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Tyler (Doubles): Martinez/Masur vs Manning/Shick Martinez/Masur 16 0.500 $7.75 $5.12 +194.1%
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes 44 0.150 $6.53 $2.65 +68.2%
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 68 0.087 $5.95 $1.61 +37.0%
Will there be 9+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season? Yes 24 0.250 $5.91 $4.58 +344.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes 1,010 0.004 $4.54 $0.26 +6.2%
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 5 0.825 $4.20 $2.32 +123.0%
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.335 $4.17 $-0.82 -16.4%
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes 13 0.315 $4.13 $0.05 +1.3%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 22 0.183 $3.96 $2.75 +227.7%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes 60 0.065 $3.93 $0.65 +20.0%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Over 5 0.750 $3.79 $1.58 +71.7%
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027? Yes 16 0.235 $3.64 $-0.85 -19.0%
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 11 0.315 $3.49 $1.09 +45.4%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Lotte Giants 6 0.607 $3.44 $1.05 +44.1%
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes 12 0.275 $3.26 $0.74 +29.4%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 4 0.825 $3.17 $1.42 +81.4%
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? No 5 0.630 $3.15 $0.30 +10.5%
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 45 0.070 $3.12 $2.18 +230.7%
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 32 0.097 $3.07 $-0.74 -19.4%
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 6 0.485 $3.04 $2.22 +273.1%
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes 40 0.075 $2.99 $0.25 +9.2%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for FC Cincinnati next? Yes 19 0.154 $2.90 $2.78 +2277.2%
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026? Yes 69 0.041 $2.78 $0.06 +2.2%
Will edgeX reach $2.00 before 2027? Yes 8 0.320 $2.65 $1.82 +220.0%
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? No 9 0.305 $2.64 $-0.13 -4.7%