| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
51 |
0.765 |
$39.28 |
$-0.06 |
-0.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
88 |
0.356 |
$31.42 |
$-1.17 |
-3.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? |
No |
29 |
0.670 |
$19.19 |
$0.57 |
+3.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
19 |
0.968 |
$18.55 |
$8.77 |
+89.7% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
51 |
0.365 |
$18.48 |
$-1.52 |
-7.6% |
| Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
No |
13 |
1.000 |
$12.98 |
$2.98 |
+29.8% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
14 |
0.885 |
$12.64 |
$2.64 |
+26.4% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? |
No |
13 |
0.892 |
$11.44 |
$1.44 |
+14.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.942 |
$10.23 |
$0.23 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.935 |
$10.05 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.935 |
$10.05 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.945 |
$10.05 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.939 |
$10.05 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.957 |
$10.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
10 |
1.000 |
$9.99 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.935 |
$9.95 |
$-0.05 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
10 |
0.958 |
$9.90 |
$-0.10 |
-1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.940 |
$9.89 |
$-0.11 |
-1.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.935 |
$9.84 |
$-0.16 |
-1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.925 |
$9.84 |
$-0.16 |
-1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.970 |
$9.72 |
$0.20 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.935 |
$9.70 |
$-0.30 |
-3.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.966 |
$9.68 |
$0.16 |
+1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.955 |
$9.57 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.945 |
$9.47 |
$-0.05 |
-0.5% |