Log in
Trader leaderboard/DumplingBMF

DumplingBMF

0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1
PnL (30d)
−$1,063
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4,444
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
783W / 642L · 891 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
1,120W / 1,097L · 99 open
Trades (30d)
2,316
across 176 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$8.30
avg win $1,055 · loss $1,841
Profit Factor
0.99
$85,475 won / $86,538 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6,949
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $87,435 · all-time $21,772,221

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.9% 783W/642L 176 $509,870
🏛 Politics 32.1% 9W/19L 24 $14,768
⚽ Sports 50.7% 154W/150L 21 $76,891

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

61 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 60,092 0.930 $55,915.18 $1,016.63 +1.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 30,000 0.925 $27,749.93 $648.57 +2.4%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes 30,528 0.595 $18,164.33 $2,395.83 +15.2%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 22,376 0.790 $17,677.11 $-282.48 -1.6%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 31,090 0.455 $14,146.03 $-2,000.62 -12.4%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 20,034 0.560 $11,218.99 $-2,197.62 -16.4%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 13,113 0.740 $9,703.56 $1,827.17 +23.2%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 6,796 0.725 $4,927.15 $1,419.66 +40.5%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? No 3,511 0.810 $2,843.92 $28.48 +1.0%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? No 3,007 0.780 $2,345.40 $-54.79 -2.3%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? No 2,417 0.855 $2,066.22 $89.64 +4.5%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No 2,257 0.915 $2,065.24 $1,013.59 +96.4%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 2,183 0.910 $1,986.56 $712.08 +55.9%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 4,726 0.415 $1,961.25 $685.25 +53.7%
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.960 $1,920.00 $80.00 +4.3%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes 2,654 0.720 $1,911.18 $232.16 +13.8%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes 5,000 0.375 $1,875.18 $-538.29 -22.3%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? Yes 7,044 0.230 $1,620.11 $-225.39 -12.2%
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31? Yes 2,142 0.650 $1,392.02 $259.82 +22.9%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No 1,945 0.625 $1,215.54 $-48.62 -3.8%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes 1,730 0.565 $977.25 $314.98 +47.6%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? No 924 0.570 $526.49 $-73.23 -12.2%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,062 0.465 $493.92 $35.93 +7.8%
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.940 $470.00 $149.14 +46.5%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? No 1,046 0.440 $460.34 $-29.97 -6.1%