PnL (30d)

−$117

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-293.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

1W / 3L

Win Return (30d)

25%

1W / 3L

Trades (30d)

4

across 4 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$29.32

avg win $74 · loss $64

Profit Factor

0.39

$74 won / $192 lost

Reward / Risk

1.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$152

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.0% 1W/3L	4	$323
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$208

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	41	0.855	$35.35	$17.27	+95.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	769	0.040	$30.38	$10.39	+51.9%
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	20	0.765	$15.30	$8.70	+131.8%
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	10	0.963	$10.11	$4.11	+68.5%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.935	$9.35	$3.15	+50.8%
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	11	0.830	$9.13	$2.64	+40.7%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	17	0.515	$8.92	$-0.53	-5.6%
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	No	10	0.805	$8.05	$1.85	+29.8%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	9	0.925	$8.04	$2.04	+34.1%
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?	No	9	0.916	$7.80	$3.80	+95.0%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No	9	0.815	$7.58	$3.58	+89.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	9	0.775	$7.21	$3.21	+80.2%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	9	0.785	$7.14	$3.14	+78.4%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?	No	7	0.965	$6.77	$2.77	+69.3%
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.670	$6.54	$2.54	+63.4%
US recession by end of 2026?	No	7	0.920	$6.44	$1.75	+37.3%
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	10	0.620	$6.22	$1.29	+26.3%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	7	0.895	$6.17	$2.17	+54.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	18	0.330	$6.11	$-5.04	-45.2%
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	10	0.575	$5.75	$0.15	+2.7%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	7	0.785	$5.40	$1.40	+34.9%
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	7	0.745	$5.16	$2.16	+72.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	20	0.250	$5.05	$-5.18	-50.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	5	0.945	$4.67	$0.67	+16.7%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?	No	5	0.885	$4.54	$2.54	+126.9%