Ordon
0x8ebfdc251c6c378d4a3a54a8f15cebfa4b9183ce
PnL (30d)
+$309
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
87%
400W / 60L · 75 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
400W / 63L · 72 open
Trades (30d)
535
across 99 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$3.77
avg win $12 · loss $29
Profit Factor
1.63
$801 won / $492 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$35
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,121 · all-time $36,462,065
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
135,000 |
0.790 |
$106,717.50 |
$39,217.50 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
135,000 |
0.209 |
$28,282.50 |
$-39,217.50 |
-58.1% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
938 |
0.942 |
$883.04 |
$18.63 |
+2.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.745 |
$37.25 |
$5.25 |
+16.4% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.735 |
$36.99 |
$19.06 |
+106.3% |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.945 |
$9.46 |
$2.89 |
+44.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
86 |
0.095 |
$8.21 |
$-5.81 |
-41.4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.963 |
$4.85 |
$0.69 |
+16.5% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.962 |
$4.81 |
$0.31 |
+6.8% |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
9,420 |
0.001 |
$4.71 |
$-4.89 |
-50.9% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.265 |
$1.32 |
$-0.57 |
-30.3% |