PnL (30d)

−$251

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$31

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

451W / 763L · 51 open

Win Return (30d)

36%

451W / 814L

Trades (30d)

1,265

across 80 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

−$3.39

avg win $13 · loss $14

Profit Factor

0.60

$378 won / $629 lost

Reward / Risk

0.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$29

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.7% 1,134W/1,871L	178	$286,682
🏛 Politics	75.1% 275W/91L	31	$56,935
🎬 Culture	75.1% 275W/91L	31	$56,935

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	15,000	0.816	$12,232.50	$4,732.50	+63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15,000	0.184	$2,767.50	$-4,732.50	-63.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.425	$2,125.00	$1,932.69	+1005.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.255	$1,275.00	$1,082.69	+563.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.185	$925.00	$732.69	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.178	$892.50	$700.19	+364.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.165	$825.00	$632.69	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.155	$775.00	$582.69	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.135	$675.00	$482.69	+251.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.105	$525.00	$332.69	+173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.079	$395.00	$202.69	+105.4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.075	$375.00	$182.69	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.065	$325.00	$132.69	+69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.045	$225.00	$32.69	+17.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.028	$140.00	$-52.30	-27.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.021	$105.00	$-87.31	-45.4%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.019	$95.00	$-97.31	-50.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.018	$87.50	$-104.81	-54.5%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.007	$37.50	$-154.81	-80.5%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.007	$35.00	$-157.31	-81.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.006	$32.50	$-159.81	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	6,111	0.004	$21.39	$-175.36	-89.1%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	6,480	0.003	$16.20	$-177.63	-91.6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	6,111	0.003	$15.28	$-180.36	-92.2%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	9,515	0.002	$14.27	$-186.06	-92.9%