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Trader leaderboard/Siziriv

Siziriv

0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$289
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$194
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
8W / 2L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
34W / 18L
Trades (30d)
52
across 10 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$57.90
avg win $873 · loss $3,201
Profit Factor
1.09
$3,490 won / $3,201 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $113,597,729

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 86.4% 241W/38L 111 $241,450
🏛 Politics 5 $57,287
💵 Economy 5 $57,287
⚽ Sports 50.0% 1W/1L 2 $123

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 1,485 0.886 $1,316.14 $573.82 +77.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,500 0.460 $689.05 $679.09 +6812.9%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.595 $595.00 $559.29 +1566.0%
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? Yes 981 0.605 $593.32 $538.84 +989.0%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 1,000 0.455 $454.99 $-45.00 -9.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 500 0.865 $432.50 $182.50 +73.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,500 0.278 $416.25 $406.28 +4074.8%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.405 $405.00 $-95.00 -19.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 1,000 0.395 $395.00 $270.00 +216.0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,500 0.209 $314.20 $307.62 +4679.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 666 0.465 $309.85 $176.58 +132.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,484 0.184 $273.76 $262.17 +2261.8%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,484 0.151 $224.79 $213.20 +1839.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,484 0.144 $214.41 $208.56 +3570.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,500 0.135 $201.72 $195.81 +3315.4%
Will Trump deport 300-400k people? Yes 981 0.190 $186.33 $131.85 +242.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,500 0.117 $174.72 $168.81 +2858.4%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,000 0.145 $145.00 $114.70 +378.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,500 0.093 $140.25 $134.34 +2274.3%
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? Yes 981 0.134 $130.92 $76.44 +140.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,500 0.086 $128.23 $122.32 +2071.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,484 0.082 $120.93 $109.34 +943.3%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes 1,000 0.115 $115.00 $-10.00 -8.0%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 1,485 0.075 $111.35 $49.49 +80.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,484 0.052 $77.90 $66.31 +572.0%