phantasys
0x8e91643b94b5a41564d9a7a302bc7c576f463335
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
1W / 0L
Trades (30d)
1
across 1 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$4.01
avg win $4
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $692,564
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
40,010 |
0.026 |
$1,040.27 |
$-326.40 |
-23.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
6,050 |
0.114 |
$686.67 |
$-532.04 |
-43.7% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
40,010 |
0.006 |
$240.06 |
$-92.82 |
-27.9% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
40,010 |
0.004 |
$160.04 |
$-90.34 |
-36.1% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
40,010 |
0.004 |
$160.04 |
$15.04 |
+10.4% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
40,010 |
0.004 |
$160.04 |
$32.05 |
+25.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,010 |
0.045 |
$90.46 |
$-100.26 |
-52.6% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
40,010 |
0.002 |
$60.02 |
$-60.02 |
-50.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.015 |
$31.00 |
$-90.36 |
-74.5% |