PnL (30d)

−$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-65.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 6L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

1W / 9L

Trades (30d)

10

across 9 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$2.60

· loss $3

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $13 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/6L	9	$31
🌤 Weather	—	1	$2
🔬 Science	—	1	$2

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	260	0.080	$20.81	$-26.18	-55.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	207	0.085	$17.63	$-20.39	-53.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	97	0.115	$11.18	$-3.82	-25.5%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	Yes	73	0.095	$6.98	$-8.02	-53.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	26	0.195	$5.06	$-1.94	-27.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	56	0.075	$4.17	$-0.83	-16.7%
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?	Yes	50	0.080	$4.00	$-1.00	-20.0%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	27	0.130	$3.49	$-3.97	-53.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	62	0.055	$3.44	$-1.56	-31.2%
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	Yes	30	0.110	$3.29	$-1.71	-34.1%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	71	0.038	$2.75	$-2.25	-45.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	200	0.013	$2.70	$-0.30	-10.0%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	112	0.024	$2.64	$-6.36	-70.6%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	111	0.024	$2.61	$-2.39	-47.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	62	0.036	$2.28	$-2.72	-54.4%
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	11	0.180	$1.89	$-0.11	-5.3%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	112	0.016	$1.79	$0.79	+78.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	33	0.045	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	Yes	38	0.037	$1.42	$-3.58	-71.5%
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	11	0.105	$1.17	$-1.83	-61.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	42	0.025	$1.04	$0.04	+3.9%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	Yes	280	0.004	$0.98	$-3.02	-75.5%
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	13	0.045	$0.60	$-1.40	-70.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	33	0.014	$0.47	$-1.53	-76.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	Yes	200	0.002	$0.30	$-0.70	-70.0%