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Trader

0x8e31fa9662ef93e357846ffbace5b53e7b0e30b1
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$8
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-12.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
18W / 11L
Win Return (30d)
62%
18W / 11L
Trades (30d)
29
across 11 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.75
avg win $2 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.60
$13 won / $21 lost
Reward / Risk
0.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $135

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 47W/43L 50 $381
🏛 Politics 33.3% 1W/2L 3 $15
🎬 Culture 33.3% 1W/2L 2 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 19 0.785 $14.66 $4.95 +51.0%
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? No 20 0.630 $12.47 $2.48 +24.8%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? No 16 0.635 $10.40 $0.41 +4.1%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 80 0.115 $9.21 $-0.40 -4.2%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No 24 0.375 $9.15 $-0.73 -7.4%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.710 $5.22 $0.30 +6.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 5 0.935 $5.13 $0.19 +3.9%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 5 0.935 $5.13 $0.19 +3.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 6 0.835 $5.09 $0.15 +3.1%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? No 6 0.770 $4.81 $-0.12 -2.5%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 17 0.290 $4.81 $-5.12 -51.6%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 11 0.385 $4.18 $-0.71 -14.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 4 0.615 $2.68 $0.89 +50.0%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? No 5 0.435 $2.07 $-0.88 -29.8%
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.845 $1.37 $0.25 +22.5%