taut-dogwood
0x8debd189ffd74160f25e367bafaed61a9fea7062
PnL (30d)
−$240
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
255W / 68L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
291W / 68L
Trades (30d)
359
across 16 markets · ~22 per market
EV / position
−$19.99
avg win $27 · loss $533
Profit Factor
0.55
$293 won / $533 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$154
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,190 · all-time $2,671,690
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,556 |
0.995 |
$1,548.17 |
$10.07 |
+0.7% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? |
No |
919 |
0.994 |
$912.99 |
$4.37 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? |
No |
178 |
0.987 |
$175.20 |
$0.51 |
+0.3% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
57 |
0.986 |
$56.13 |
$0.61 |
+1.1% |
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.880 |
$53.16 |
$-2.06 |
-3.7% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? |
No |
57 |
0.940 |
$53.14 |
$4.41 |
+9.1% |
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? |
No |
38 |
0.965 |
$36.73 |
$0.59 |
+1.6% |
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.925 |
$33.31 |
$-0.90 |
-2.6% |