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Trader leaderboard/OLOTH

OLOTH

0x8de674db0dfe57e85594a32c06b94703d2842938
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$15
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
2W / 0L
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$15.28
avg win $15
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $688 · all-time $3,000,856

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 99.1% 110W/1L 53 $137,017
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $12,322
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $11,988

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 4,460 0.925 $4,125.37 $83.55 +2.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.964 $963.50 $13.50 +1.4%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 500 0.987 $493.25 $12.25 +2.5%
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No 525 0.904 $474.60 $-5.55 -1.2%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 500 0.942 $470.75 $16.75 +3.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 500 0.865 $432.50 $2.50 +0.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 277 1.000 $276.66 $0.42 +0.2%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 300 0.835 $250.35 $-36.45 -12.7%
French election called by December 31, 2026? No 229 0.790 $180.96 $-10.37 -5.4%
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No 166 0.981 $162.77 $2.08 +1.3%
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026? No 65 0.920 $59.84 $1.56 +2.7%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No 60 0.945 $56.70 $1.50 +2.7%
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31? No 44 0.995 $43.28 $0.61 +1.4%