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Trader

0x8dc7a4315b3a6230a507a3776e68cd3ceb2b116f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$87
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
69%
11W / 5L
Trades (30d)
16
across 12 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $508,715

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 80.0% 4W/1L 31 $10,147
₿ Crypto 1 $370
🏛 Politics 1 $360

Open positions

53 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 2,551 0.835 $2,130.36 $6.36 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 4,000 0.335 $1,340.00 $-20.00 -1.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 1,325 0.963 $1,275.31 $126.82 +11.0%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 1,405 0.835 $1,173.16 $10.13 +0.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 2,000 0.555 $1,109.98 $20.01 +1.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 7,000 0.135 $941.46 $366.98 +63.9%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 1,500 0.555 $832.50 $114.70 +16.0%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 1,105 0.715 $789.79 $130.02 +19.7%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 700 0.945 $661.50 $104.50 +18.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,700 0.235 $634.50 $13.50 +2.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 1,500 0.405 $607.60 $14.96 +2.5%
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No 607 0.910 $552.20 $131.46 +31.2%
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No 565 0.949 $535.75 $54.73 +11.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,900 0.278 $527.20 $303.59 +135.8%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 600 0.870 $522.00 $5.00 +1.0%
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No 523 0.916 $478.67 $58.91 +14.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 950 0.490 $465.50 $-180.99 -28.0%
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 519 0.890 $462.09 $58.65 +14.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.455 $454.92 $-12.59 -2.7%
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No 436 0.940 $409.75 $71.67 +21.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,500 0.117 $407.73 $-203.38 -33.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 2,188 0.175 $384.01 $119.61 +45.2%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes 2,448 0.145 $354.95 $-196.13 -35.6%
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 347 0.941 $326.99 $17.70 +5.7%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 327 0.968 $316.59 $30.24 +10.6%