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Trader leaderboard/cwc909

cwc909

0x8db4f2bcb37078763c70dac5d99c285995479c07
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$39
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$33
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
127W / 99L · 128 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
188W / 151L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
354
across 153 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.49
avg win $6 · loss $24
Profit Factor
0.91
$376 won / $415 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,158 · all-time $3,985,866

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.6% 1,584W/796L 2106 $45,511
🏛 Politics 36.4% 12W/21L 56 $853
💵 Economy 27.8% 10W/26L 40 $407
⚽ Sports 30 $237
🎬 Culture 11 $58
🤖 Tech 37.5% 3W/5L 8 $68

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%? Yes 85 0.975 $83.14 $55.72 +203.2%
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 82 0.984 $80.38 $16.34 +25.5%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund? Yes 80 0.974 $77.88 $30.95 +65.9%
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026? Yes 62 0.985 $61.50 $13.52 +28.2%
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 93 0.540 $50.41 $2.87 +6.0%
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 50 0.986 $49.28 $24.28 +97.1%
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes 50 0.960 $48.00 $23.00 +92.0%
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes 50 0.960 $47.98 $22.98 +91.9%
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? Yes 50 0.957 $47.85 $5.35 +12.6%
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? Yes 50 0.955 $47.75 $22.75 +91.0%
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Yes 58 0.815 $47.24 $13.03 +38.1%
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes 50 0.940 $47.00 $22.00 +88.0%
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? Yes 50 0.890 $44.50 $19.50 +78.0%
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? Yes 50 0.885 $44.25 $19.25 +77.0%
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? Yes 50 0.870 $43.50 $18.50 +74.0%
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? Yes 46 0.930 $42.64 $19.72 +86.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 50 0.845 $42.25 $-0.25 -0.6%
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? Yes 50 0.835 $41.75 $16.75 +67.0%
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? Yes 48 0.870 $41.64 $13.55 +48.2%
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? Yes 50 0.795 $39.75 $14.75 +59.0%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes 100 0.395 $39.50 $-10.50 -21.0%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? Yes 50 0.785 $39.25 $14.25 +57.0%
Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? Yes 40 0.970 $38.51 $18.65 +93.9%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 50 0.745 $37.25 $12.25 +49.0%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Yes 49 0.765 $37.20 $12.89 +53.0%