PnL (30d)

−$268

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

13%

111W / 768L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

13%

113W / 773L

Trades (30d)

886

across 215 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.26

avg win $48 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.80

$1,048 won / $1,316 lost

Reward / Risk

6.88

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$130

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.0% 348W/1,829L	523	$8,462
🌤 Weather	14.8% 35W/201L	56	$899
⚽ Sports	25.0% 4W/12L	4	$271

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.333	$33.25	$32.25	+3225.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.340	$6.80	$3.80	+126.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	60	0.090	$5.40	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	50	0.055	$2.75	$-6.25	-69.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-3.45	-98.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-1.95	-97.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	82	0.001	$0.04	$-4.06	-99.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.001	$0.01	$-2.72	-99.6%