Trader
0x8ca91b7864941aa720c7eea8241f8d851ae2f466
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$671
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+49.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
23W / 9L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
27W / 10L
Trades (30d)
37
across 32 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$23.97
avg win $43 · loss $15
Profit Factor
5.86
$809 won / $138 lost
Reward / Risk
2.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$54
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,097 · all-time $31,369
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in August? |
Yes |
60 |
0.885 |
$53.10 |
$47.50 |
+848.2% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.490 |
$49.00 |
$23.00 |
+88.5% |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.580 |
$34.80 |
$3.00 |
+9.4% |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August? |
No |
90 |
0.335 |
$30.15 |
$-20.25 |
-40.2% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August? |
No |
40 |
0.735 |
$29.40 |
$10.50 |
+55.6% |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $127? |
Yes |
26 |
0.980 |
$25.28 |
$7.48 |
+42.0% |