| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
19 |
0.895 |
$17.21 |
$7.21 |
+72.1% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 |
No |
15 |
0.935 |
$14.46 |
$4.56 |
+46.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.976 |
$12.35 |
$2.35 |
+23.5% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.830 |
$11.86 |
$1.86 |
+18.6% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.325 |
$11.85 |
$-8.15 |
-40.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.885 |
$11.80 |
$1.80 |
+18.0% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.930 |
$10.68 |
$0.68 |
+6.8% |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
11 |
0.950 |
$10.34 |
$0.44 |
+4.4% |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
11 |
0.966 |
$10.28 |
$0.38 |
+3.8% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.295 |
$9.16 |
$0.16 |
+1.7% |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.986 |
$8.30 |
$0.55 |
+7.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.835 |
$7.62 |
$1.14 |
+17.6% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.315 |
$6.18 |
$-3.82 |
-38.2% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.790 |
$5.05 |
$3.90 |
+338.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.275 |
$4.91 |
$-5.09 |
-50.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
No |
14 |
0.255 |
$3.59 |
$-1.78 |
-33.2% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
3 |
0.982 |
$2.94 |
$0.20 |
+7.4% |
| USMCA extended in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.750 |
$2.60 |
$0.40 |
+18.2% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.685 |
$2.20 |
$0.21 |
+10.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
19 |
0.105 |
$2.02 |
$-6.46 |
-76.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.095 |
$1.80 |
$-3.13 |
-63.5% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.295 |
$1.47 |
$-0.93 |
-38.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.770 |
$0.97 |
$0.05 |
+5.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.045 |
$0.70 |
$-4.90 |
-87.5% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
Yes |
1 |
0.265 |
$0.37 |
$-0.04 |
-8.6% |