| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20,000 |
0.959 |
$19,170.00 |
$4,170.00 |
+27.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,866 |
0.835 |
$5,733.36 |
$732.37 |
+14.6% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
4,423 |
0.830 |
$3,670.70 |
$511.72 |
+16.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
4,422 |
0.823 |
$3,636.96 |
$59.17 |
+1.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,353 |
0.350 |
$3,623.40 |
$-1,531.68 |
-29.7% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
3,628 |
0.746 |
$2,704.55 |
$1,703.56 |
+170.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
3,036 |
0.890 |
$2,702.44 |
$202.44 |
+8.1% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
2,814 |
0.835 |
$2,349.54 |
$99.54 |
+4.4% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
2,226 |
0.845 |
$1,881.31 |
$230.31 |
+13.9% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
1,645 |
0.940 |
$1,546.05 |
$296.05 |
+23.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,714 |
0.225 |
$1,285.71 |
$-714.28 |
-35.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
995 |
0.790 |
$786.25 |
$417.25 |
+113.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
455 |
0.890 |
$405.16 |
$155.16 |
+62.1% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
No |
2,500 |
0.150 |
$375.00 |
$-125.00 |
-25.0% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.680 |
$339.98 |
$5.00 |
+1.5% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
378 |
0.820 |
$309.97 |
$88.97 |
+40.3% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,316 |
0.220 |
$289.47 |
$39.47 |
+15.8% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
No |
445 |
0.645 |
$287.31 |
$87.31 |
+43.7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
362 |
0.675 |
$244.57 |
$-5.43 |
-2.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.210 |
$105.00 |
$-10.00 |
-8.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
442 |
0.160 |
$70.70 |
$-229.30 |
-76.4% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
454 |
0.095 |
$43.14 |
$-246.86 |
-85.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
679 |
0.055 |
$37.32 |
$-162.68 |
-81.3% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
No |
35 |
0.919 |
$32.49 |
$2.49 |
+8.3% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.025 |
$25.40 |
$12.40 |
+95.4% |