PnL (30d)

+$51

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+6.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

73%

109W / 41L

Win Return (30d)

73%

109W / 41L

Trades (30d)

150

across 87 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.59

avg win $3 · loss $7

Profit Factor

1.34

$203 won / $152 lost

Reward / Risk

0.43

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	76.4% 385W/119L	288	$3,025
🌤 Weather	56.7% 17W/13L	12	$161
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	27	1.000	$27.34	$10.82	+65.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5?	No	19	1.000	$18.74	$2.26	+13.7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	14	1.000	$13.83	$5.63	+68.6%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5?	No	9	1.000	$9.18	$0.55	+6.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	8	0.995	$7.77	$2.93	+60.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	8	1.000	$7.69	$2.84	+58.6%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	8	1.000	$7.69	$3.09	+67.1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5?	No	8	1.000	$7.69	$3.07	+66.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	8	1.000	$7.69	$3.07	+66.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	8	0.999	$7.68	$2.91	+61.1%