PnL (30d)

+$397

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$35

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

77%

153W / 46L · 201 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

252W / 148L

Trades (30d)

400

across 25 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$28.35

avg win $69 · loss $12

Profit Factor

5.56

$484 won / $87 lost

Reward / Risk

5.56

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$28

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	76.9% 153W/46L	25	$9,074
💵 Economy	85.7% 6W/1L	7	$1,695
🏛 Politics	100.0% 6W/0L	4	$1,513

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	943	0.515	$485.44	$-0.72	-0.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	443	0.615	$272.16	$15.49	+6.0%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	319	0.420	$133.83	$10.83	+8.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	211	0.535	$112.83	$12.88	+12.9%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	364	0.075	$27.29	$-24.71	-47.5%