PnL (30d)

+$1

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

12W / 3L · 191 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

108W / 89L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

206

across 154 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.10

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

1.26

$4 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

0.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.0% 12W/3L	154	$450
🏛 Politics	14.3% 1W/6L	73	$140
₿ Crypto	—	16	$15
💵 Economy	—	16	$14
🤖 Tech	—	3	$2
🌤 Weather	—	3	$12
🎬 Culture	—	2	$5
⚽ Sports	—	2	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	7	0.001	$0.00	$-2.99	-99.9%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.00	$-0.75	-99.7%
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	66	0.000	$0.00	$-1.71	-100.0%