PnL (30d)

−$15

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$40

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

87%

4,361W / 636L · 500 open

Win Return (30d)

86%

4,713W / 772L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

5,497

across 357 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

−$0.06

avg win $20 · loss $235

Profit Factor

1.00

$5,162 won / $5,178 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$365

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.3% 4,361W/636L	357	$7,601
🏛 Politics	92.3% 516W/43L	82	$1,111
🎬 Culture	92.3% 516W/43L	82	$1,111

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	15	0.075	$1.13	$0.55	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	15	0.055	$0.82	$0.25	+43.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	8	0.085	$0.65	$0.36	+121.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	15	0.018	$0.28	$-0.30	-51.9%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	15	0.011	$0.16	$-0.42	-72.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	195	0.001	$0.10	$-7.40	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	1	0.095	$0.10	$0.06	+146.9%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	180	0.001	$0.09	$-6.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	165	0.001	$0.08	$-16.42	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	165	0.001	$0.08	$-16.42	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	165	0.001	$0.08	$-16.42	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	135	0.001	$0.07	$-5.12	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	135	0.001	$0.07	$-5.12	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	135	0.001	$0.07	$-5.12	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	120	0.001	$0.06	$-4.56	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	120	0.001	$0.06	$-11.94	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	105	0.001	$0.05	$-3.99	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	105	0.001	$0.05	$-3.99	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	105	0.001	$0.05	$-3.99	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	90	0.001	$0.04	$-3.42	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	90	0.001	$0.04	$-3.42	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	75	0.001	$0.04	$-2.85	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	75	0.001	$0.04	$-2.85	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	60	0.001	$0.03	$-2.28	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	15	0.002	$0.02	$-0.55	-96.1%