| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
73,927 |
0.004 |
$258.74 |
$-525.69 |
-67.0% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
328 |
0.487 |
$160.08 |
$-46.92 |
-22.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
192 |
0.675 |
$129.54 |
$7.25 |
+5.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
695 |
0.180 |
$125.13 |
$-85.87 |
-40.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
668 |
0.140 |
$93.56 |
$-165.00 |
-63.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
210 |
0.365 |
$76.47 |
$6.48 |
+9.3% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
251 |
0.277 |
$69.43 |
$29.43 |
+73.6% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,224 |
0.038 |
$47.14 |
$-5.86 |
-11.1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
718 |
0.065 |
$46.64 |
$-107.36 |
-69.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
273 |
0.165 |
$45.00 |
$15.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
45 |
0.956 |
$42.85 |
$-0.15 |
-0.3% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
110 |
0.373 |
$41.09 |
$-3.91 |
-8.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
56 |
0.655 |
$36.98 |
$1.98 |
+5.6% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
69 |
0.405 |
$28.08 |
$18.08 |
+180.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
64 |
0.261 |
$16.67 |
$0.67 |
+4.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
23 |
0.675 |
$15.82 |
$0.82 |
+5.5% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
149 |
0.101 |
$15.00 |
$-5.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
65 |
0.225 |
$14.67 |
$-0.33 |
-2.2% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.065 |
$13.03 |
$-16.97 |
-56.6% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
83 |
0.125 |
$10.42 |
$-9.58 |
-47.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-10.50 |
-52.5% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
4,707 |
0.002 |
$7.06 |
$-46.92 |
-86.9% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
125 |
0.055 |
$6.88 |
$-18.12 |
-72.5% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
75 |
0.072 |
$5.41 |
$-4.59 |
-45.9% |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) |
Atlanta Braves |
23 |
0.220 |
$5.00 |
$-10.00 |
-66.7% |