| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
593 |
0.645 |
$382.27 |
$123.96 |
+48.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
305 |
0.665 |
$202.83 |
$19.82 |
+10.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
292 |
0.675 |
$197.22 |
$27.76 |
+16.4% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
588 |
0.255 |
$149.99 |
$50.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
303 |
0.475 |
$143.84 |
$11.36 |
+8.6% |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? |
Yes |
366 |
0.355 |
$129.96 |
$16.47 |
+14.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? |
No |
780 |
0.145 |
$113.05 |
$19.61 |
+21.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? |
No |
295 |
0.365 |
$107.52 |
$-3.65 |
-3.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
318 |
0.325 |
$103.49 |
$-11.72 |
-10.2% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
421 |
0.240 |
$101.05 |
$21.05 |
+26.3% |
| Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? |
No |
190 |
0.510 |
$97.08 |
$26.65 |
+37.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,263 |
0.075 |
$94.74 |
$-18.95 |
-16.7% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 |
Yes |
440 |
0.215 |
$94.60 |
$-25.83 |
-21.4% |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? |
Yes |
299 |
0.315 |
$94.06 |
$4.37 |
+4.9% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,183 |
0.075 |
$88.76 |
$-102.28 |
-53.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat? |
No |
624 |
0.135 |
$84.29 |
$-29.08 |
-25.7% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
623 |
0.135 |
$84.10 |
$24.03 |
+40.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
303 |
0.270 |
$81.80 |
$-17.90 |
-18.0% |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? |
Yes |
571 |
0.140 |
$80.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
No |
160 |
0.495 |
$79.11 |
$13.58 |
+20.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
519 |
0.150 |
$77.84 |
$36.24 |
+87.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? |
No |
567 |
0.135 |
$76.55 |
$-17.49 |
-18.6% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
228 |
0.325 |
$74.04 |
$23.54 |
+46.6% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
547 |
0.135 |
$73.90 |
$41.06 |
+125.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
273 |
0.255 |
$69.59 |
$-25.93 |
-27.1% |